Sunday, October 6, 2013

My All Time Favorite Investment Books

The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham

Benjamin Graham is undisputedly the father of value investing. His ideas about security analysis laid the foundation for a generation of investors, including his most famous student, Warren Buffet.
It's 640 pages long!

One Up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch 

Peter Lynch is the former manager of Fidelity's Magellan mutual fund who rose to fame in the bull market rally of the 1980s. In the 1980s and 1990s he was one of the best known mutual fund managers in America but has since faded from view as hedge fund managers became the new golden boys.

It incorporates his popular investment philosophy: 'buy what you know.'


These books are just a start. There is no single investment book that will give you all the information you need and propel you to success in your investment. One thing to keep in mind is that learning never ends. You should read the above books at least for once and continue to make reference to back them. Better still, create your own notes!

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Key Beneficiaries from Iskandar Malaysia

CapitalLand: Owns 71 acres in Danga Baym Iskandar with GDV of rm8.1 billion;
 

Dialog: Its massive rm5 billion Pengerang project has a 60 year concession;
 

Gamuda: 50% of Horizon Hills in Nusajaya (710 acres of unsold land, rm4.3 billion balance GDV);
 

IWH/Tebrau: Of the about 1,700ha, IWH has about 809.37ha in Danga Bay. Of the balance land-bank, 768.9ha are in the Johor Baru city centre and the eastern side or Tebrau Coast of the southern tip of Johor Baru, and it also has 121.41ha in Desaru;
 

Genting Plantation: Owns 6571 acres of land near Senai Airport. Owns the Johor Premium Outlet;
 

E&O: Owns 210 acres in Medini that will be developed into a wellness project;
 

IOI Corp: Owns 1955 acres of land in Kulai, near the Senai airport;
 

Mah Sing: Owns 433 acres in Johor including 8.2 acres in Medini;
 

SP Setia: Sominant developer in wider Johor with over 1000 acres of landbank;
 

Sunway: Owns 1858 acres of land in Iskandar with total GDV of rm30 billion;
 

UEM Land: Has the largest landbank of any developer in Iskandar with over 7000 acres undeveloped;
 

WCT: Owns 46 acrers of land in Johor including 34 acres in Medini

Growth Stock with Net Cash Position - Part 1


Bright Packaging
Bright Packaging is in a healthy position. The group is debt free with a net cash balance of rm19.94 million as at Aug 2013, while net assets per share stood at 0.62.

Dayang
It provides maintenance, fabrication, hook up and commissioning and chartering services for the oil and gas sector.
It has an order book of rm1.2 billion that will keep the company busy until 2016.
It is poised to secure more jobs as Petronas is expected to dish out rm10 billion worth of HUC jobs for the Pan Malaysia cluster.
It is also the front runner for these HUC contracts. Meanwhile expect the company to land more tenders for brownfield services in 2013.
It had a strong balance sheet. As at Sept 2012, it was in net cash position of rm106 million or 19 sen per share.
Expectations hat Dayang will raise its stake in Perdana Pet to over 20%, making Perdana Pet an associate company. This is positive move because Dayang will be able to account for equity earnings in Perdana Pet.

Uchi Tech
It stands above the rest in a volatile environment where high yields are highly sought after. The Taiwanese base dfirm has been paying out between 80% and 90% of its net profit as dividends in the past few years, signaling solid financial foundation and a firm commitment to rewarding shareholders. Uchi is an ODM that produces electronic control modules used in high end coffee makers that are mainly used in Europe and biotech equipment.
Uchi Tech shifted its product mix from coffee machines to biotech equipment, which commands higher margins.
The company is also in a net cash position of rm124 million with no borrowings but downside risks include its liquidity and a future fall in earnings.

Top Glove
It will increase its glove prices by between 3% and 5%, triggered by escalating labour costs due to the introduction of the minimum wage policy. The policy, which took effect on Jan 1 2012, was likely to cause the glove producer's labour cost to rise by some 50%. Labour cost made up 9% of Top Glove's production costs for the September-to-November quarter 2012.
A capital expenditure of RM200mil had been set aside for FY13, largely to be used for capacity expansion.
With the completion of the acquisition of the 95% equity stake in PT Agro Pratama in Indonesia , the group was in the process of land preparation and was projected to commence its first rubber tree-planting cycle by the middle of 2013.
Top Glove remained in a net cash position of RM345.9mil following such upstream plans.
It remains open to mergers and acquisitions.
Top Glove has just completed the purchase of Malacca-based GMP Medicare Sdn Bhd, a producer of medical and examination gloves.

Mudajaya
Power plant and highway construction specialist Mudajaya Group Bhd will start
developing phase one of its for US$750 million (RM2.3 billion) coal-fired power plant project in Myanmar in the second half of 2014.
It is understood that the special purpose vehicle (SPV) set up by Mudajaya and IJM Corp Bhd co-founder Datuk Koon Yew Yin will build the plant over several phases.
Phase one will supply up to 500 megawatts (MW) of electricity to the Mandalay region.
Mudajaya has a 70 per cent stake in the SPV while Koon holds the rest. Both parties last year inked a memorandum of understanding with the Mandalay government to set up two independent power plants in the Mandalay region and other suitable areas.
The first is a coal-fired plant and the second will be a solar-powered plant.
For the nine months ended September 30 2012, Mudajaya's profits rose to RM189.9 million from RM164.5 million a year earlier.
Its revenue increased by 47.5 per cent year-on-year to RM1.35 billion, compared with RM916.4 million previously.
Mudajaya's balance sheet remained healthy with a net cash position of RM419.5 million, shareholders funds of RM1.09 billion and net asset per share at RM2.
The improved performance was driven by its construction division on the back of higher recognition of revenue and profits on work done.
Mudajaya is now bidding for projects worth more than RM5 billion in Malaysia.
Its construction order book as at September 30 2012 stood at RM2.8 billion.

Hai-O
Hai-O has a dividend payout policy of at least 50% of net profit.
The dividend payment is also supported by a strong balance sheet, with the group sitting on a net cash pile of RM118.4mil (or RM0.60/share) as at end-Oct12.
Hai-O's multi-level marketing (MLM) business currently has more than 140,000 registered members and over 40 stockists and branches nationwide. The group's MLM business is mainly targeted at the Malay market, with approximately 80% of its members currently being bumiputras.
This has helped the group's MLM business achieve tremendous growth as the Malay population constitute s67% of Malaysia's total population, with disposable income for the Malay segment expected to grow fastest compared to the Chinese and Indian population.
As of the first half financial year 2013, Hai-O has already achieved a net profit of RM21.6m (+38.5% y-o-y), excluding one-off gain from disposal of freehold land amounting to RM4.8mil, on the back of RM127mil revenue (+18.5% y-o-y).
This is mainly due to stronger performance from its MLM division driven by sales of high-margin foundation garments, series of health food products and a newly-launched health wellness product.
Management has guided that it should be able to post double-digit earnings growth this year and we think the group is well on its way to achieve a strong set of results in FY13.

DIGI
It was still in a net cash position as at Sept 30, 2012 but estimates that its rm1.45 billion cash pile will be whittled down after a rm933 million special dividend declared in Oct 2012. Even so, its net debt to Ebitda levels will be at only 0.2 times.
Market observers opined that embracing the business trust model would allow DIGI to pay dividends from its operating cash flow, which is higher than its account profits due to depreciation charges.
For now (Feb 2013), DIGI has given its commitment to deliver a minimum 80% payout ratio.
It will consider the business trust framework as part of its ongoing assessment of alternative ways to return excess cash to shareholders.
Rather than whether DIGI plans to go shopping, market observers wants to know if DIGI’s parent Telenor would delay rich payouts until it gets clarity on whether it would be allowed to raise its shareholding in DIGI above 49%. Telenor could well use a bigger war chest in its pursuit of a presence in Myanmar.

Maybulk
The bulk carrier has net cash per share of 13.5 sen per share or rm135 million after deducting its debts of about rm116.4 million.
It was still poor earnings visibility at Maybulk with improvements in freight rates expected only towards 2014.
The only bright spot is its business in the offshore market helped by a healthy growth in exploration and production activity in the oil and gas sector. This bright spot is its 21.23% stake in POSH which is controlled by its parent Pacific Carriers. There is intent to list POSH in 2013.
Maybulk has the put option that allows it to demand Pacific Carriers to buy back its POSH shares at a 25% premium of its purchase price of US$6.50 per share if the listing of POSH does not happen within five years from its investment.
It remains to be seen if the intended floatation of POSH would take place in 2013 of it Maybulk would choose to exercise its put option.
Any case, POSH is expanding… In Nov 2012, Maybulk paid US$31.84 million to subscribe to a rights issue by POSH, thus retaining its 21.23% stake. POSH intends to use the fund raised from the RCPS for capex and investment opportunities.
As a holder of the five year RCPS, Maybulk can choose to demand for full redemption of the RCPS upon notification of POSH’s listing or have the papers converted into POSH shares as part of the IPO process.
Pacific Carriers has been growing POSH, including via acquisitions.
Pacific Carriers has a 34.5% stake in Maybulk while PPB Group owns a 14% stake.
POSH is already a sizeable contributor to Maybulk’s earnings as its core dry bulk business remains lackluster.
A propitious listing for POSH would certainly be a boast for Maybulk if nothing else would have to take into consideration the value of Maybulk’s stake in POSH when calculating the former’s worth.
As it is Maybulk is being valued at about 0.7 times book. If the listing of POSH does happen, the value of the company would be valued differently … it will be positive but overall the key re rating catalyst would still be the recovery of the core dry bulk business, which gives most of the revenue while POSH is just an associate.
Market observers are not betting for privatization of Maybulk.

Sunday, September 22, 2013

Well Connected Business Personalities - Malaysia


Tan Sri Tan Kay Hock (GKetn/Johan)

He is chairman of GKent and also controls Johan. Reportedly the golfing buddy of the PM, he wants the thrust in the limelight when GKent was awarded the Ampang Line LRT extension project extension project reported to be worth some rm1 billion.

Tan Sri Lim Kang Hoo (Tebrau/IWH/Ekovest)

His main vehicle Ekovest Bhd where he is executive chairman. He is in the midst of listing IWH Bhd for close to rm1.3 billion. Ekovest has secured jobs worth more than rm100 million in Iskandar Waterfront’s Danga Bay in Johor and has also tendered for other reclamation and construction jobs said to be worth more than rm1 billion. He is said to be close to the DPM Tan Sri Muhyddin Yassin and Defence Minister Datuk Seri Hishammuddin Hussein, both from Johor. Lim was also in the news when was reported to be eyeing a stake in KFC Holdings Bhd.

Datuk Amar Abdul Hamed Sepawi (TA Ann Group/Naim Holdings)

He controls Sarawak based TA Ann Group where he is also executive chairman and NAIM Holdings Bhd and is linked to Sarawak Energy Bhd. A cousin of Sarawak Chief Minister Tan Sri Taib Mahmud, he is involved in plantations, energy and construction.

Datuk Mahmud Abu Bekir Taib (CMSB)

He is the son of Sarawak Chief Minister Tan Sri Taib Mahmud and group deputy chairman of CMSB, widely seen to be Taib’s family company. The company is reported to have benefited heavily from projects undertaken under the SCORE.

Datuk Mohamed Al Amin Abdul Majid (Ancom/Nylex/SME Corp)

Mohamed Amin, a non-executive director of Ancom Bhd is said to be close to the PM. He is also chairman of SME Corp Malaysia, Nylex and MCIS Zurich Insurance Bhd.

Datuk Mokhazani Mahathir and Datuk Shahril Shamsuddin (SKPEtro/Opcom)

Mokhazani is the second son of former PM Tun Dr Mahathir while Shahril’s father is Sapura Group founder, Tan Sri Samsuddin Kadir.

Datuk Fateh Iskandar Mohamed Mansor (Glomac/Axis REIT/NST)

The group MD and CEO of Glomac Bhd is also a director of AXIS REIT Managers and NST. He is an ex-treasurer of UMNO Selangor.

Datuk Sri Mohd Effendi Norwawi (Encorp)

The executive chairman of Encorp and former treasurer of PBB is said to be close to Sarawak chief minister Tan Sri Taib Mahmud. The successful property developer was chairman of the Sarawak Economic Development Corp for 18 years and Agriculture Minister from 1999-2004 and Minister’s Department, a post he gave up in 2008.

Datuk Norraesah Mohamad (MYEG)

She is reported to be a Wanita UMNO supreme council member and is executive chairman of MYEG. She is also chairman of Penang Bridge Sdn Bhd and Utusan Melayu Malaysia Bhd and served as chairman of Bank Rakyat from 2000 to 2003.

Tan Sri Tee Hock Seng (Bina Puri)

The group MD and ex-MCA treasurer general, sits on the board of trustees of the Perdana Leadership Foundation and is also a director of Bina Puri Holdings Bhd and KL-Kuala Selangor Expressway Bhd.

Datuk Rozabil Abdul Rahman (Destini)

The group MD of Destini is UMNO Youth treasurer and is reported to be close to its movement’s chief Khairy Jamaluddin. There was also talk that he is a nephew of former Defence Minister and newly appointed Home Minister Datuk Seri Zahid Hamidi but he has denied this.

Alongside Rozali on the board of Destini is UMNO supreme council member Datuk Abdul Aziz who wrested the Bandar Kulim parliamentary seat from Pakatan Rakyat in the GE13.

Tan Sri Rozali Ismail (Puncak Niaga)

He is the executive chairman of Puncak Niaga Holdings Bhd and former Selangor UMNO treasurer.

Datuk Idris Buang (HSL)

The chairman of HSL and director of Sarawak Energy Bhd is said to be close to Sarawak Chief Minister Tan Sri Taib Mahmud.

Datuk Jaffar Indot (Prestariang/Sycal/Melewar Ind)

Prestariang is largely led by a bumiputera management team. Its chairman Datuk Rami Abbas, was formerly CEO of Celcom Bhd. Ramli is known to have strong government links. Other than Ramli, another director Datuk Jaffar also has strong management credentials. He sits on the board of two listed companies, Sycal Ventures Bhd and Melewar Industries Group Bhd.
 
Datuk Wira Syed Ali Abbas Alhabshee (Redtone/TGOFFs/Bright Pack/Amedia)


Datuk Syed Syed Ali is the head of the Cheras Umno division. He is chairman of Redtone, a major shareholder in Bright Packaging, an independent non-executive chairman of TGOFFs and AMedia
 

Saturday, September 21, 2013

Potential Beneficiaries Of O&G Contracts in Bursa

Project: RAPID
Est Value: rm60 Billion
Timeline: 2013 – 2017
Potential Beneficiary: Dialog, PetChem, PetGas, KNM, MHB

Project: Pengerang Independent Deepwater Terminal
Est Value: rm5 Billion
Timeline: 2013-2020
Potential Beneficiary: Dialog

Project: ExxonMobil’s Enhance Oil Recovery
Est Value: rm10 Billion
Timeline: 2013 – 2014
Potential Beneficiary: SKPetro, MHB

Project: Shell’s Chemical EQR
Est Value: rm36 billion
Timeline: 2013 onwards
Potential Beneficiary: SKPetro, Armada, MHB

Project: Malikai deepwater field
Est Value: rm3 Billion
Timeline: 2013 – 2015
Potential Beneficiary: MHB

Project: Petronas drilling plans of 50 wells next 3 years from 2013
Est Value: NA
Timeline: 2012 – 2014
Potential Beneficiary: SKPetro, MMHB, Dialog, Armada, UMW

Project: Floating solutions for Belud, Desaru, Terentai, Dahila. S
Est Value: NA
Timeline: 2013 – 2015
Potential Beneficiary: Armada, SKPetro

Project: North Malay Basin
Est Value: 16.5 Billion
Timeline: 2013-2015
Potential Beneficiary: Perisai, Wah Seong, MHB, SKPEtro